UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Grasso vs Herrig

1,663

CageRank

WINNER
Herrig

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Herrig
WILL WIN

1,735

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Felice Herrig
Significantly stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Alexa Grasso
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 23 years vs 32 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 165 cm vs 163 cm Almost the same
Herrig on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grasso’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Felice
Herrig
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herrig is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Herrig is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Herrig has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Grasso on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herrig’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexa
Grasso
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grasso is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grasso is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Grasso has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herrig 6.6
fighter Grasso 7.9
Great knockouts by Grasso
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Alvarez
Round 1 May 11, 2013 vs Hernandez
Round 1 Dec 19, 2012 vs del Rincon

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herrig 6.8
fighter Grasso 6.7
Great submissions by Herrig
Round 2 Dec 12, 2014 vs Ellis
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs LaVoy
Round 2 Nov 20, 2009 vs Gutierrez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herrig 6.9
fighter Grasso 7.9
Fast finishes by Grasso
36 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Alvarez
12 seconds May 11, 2013 vs Hernandez
15 seconds Dec 19, 2012 vs del Rincon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 4, 2017UFC Fight Night 104
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herrig
legend Grasso
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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