UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Carlos Jr. vs Novaes

1,679

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Carlos Jr.

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Carlos Jr.
WILL WIN

1,389

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Carlos Jr.
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 7.9 vs 7.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 7.9 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Younger 28 years vs 31 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Edinaldo Novaes
Much heavier 234 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Carlos Jr. on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Novaes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Carlos Jr.
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carlos Jr. is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Carlos Jr. has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Carlos Jr. has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Novaes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carlos Jr.’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edinaldo
Novaes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Novaes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Novaes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Novaes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Carlos Jr. 6.8
fighter Novaes 6.9
Great knockouts by Novaes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2017 vs Cordeiro Rocha
Round 2 Dec 07, 2013 vs Costa
Round 1 Sep 30, 2012 vs Pereira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carlos Jr. 8.0
fighter Novaes 6.6
Great submissions by Carlos Jr.
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Novaes
Round 1 Sep 14, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jul 20, 2013 vs Pereira da Silva

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carlos Jr. 7.8
fighter Novaes 7.0
Fast finishes by Carlos Jr.
256 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Novaes
101 seconds Sep 14, 2013 vs Oliveira
62 seconds Jul 20, 2013 vs Pereira da Silva
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 26, 2013CPMMAF 2
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,5891,416
1,6161,389
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carlos Jr.
legend Novaes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus