UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Reynolds vs Evinger

1,513

CageRank

WINNER
Evinger

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Evinger
WILL WIN

1,801

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tonya Evinger
Much stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 7.1 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 170 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Erin Reynolds
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Evinger on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Reynolds’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tonya
Evinger
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evinger has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Evinger has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Evinger has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Reynolds on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evinger’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Erin
Reynolds
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reynolds is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Reynolds is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Reynolds is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evinger 7.3
fighter Reynolds 7.2
Great knockouts by Evinger
Round 1 Apr 13, 2012 vs Jackson
Round 2 Jul 17, 2010 vs Jenkins
Round 2 Mar 17, 2007 vs Plagmann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evinger 7.2
fighter Reynolds 7.5
Great submissions by Reynolds
Round 1 May 11, 2007 vs Davids

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evinger 7.8
fighter Reynolds 7.5
Fast finishes by Evinger
117 seconds Sep 23, 2011 vs Rodriguez
496 seconds Jul 17, 2010 vs Jenkins
103 seconds Jan 25, 2008 vs Kedzie
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 27, 2006ISCF - Midwest Fightfest
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R2 SUBX
1,5001,493
1,4491,544
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evinger
legend Reynolds
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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