UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldana vs Smith

1,625

CageRank

WINNER
Smith

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Smith
WILL WIN

1,756

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Leslie Smith
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Irene Aldana
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 30 years vs 36 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldana’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Leslie
Smith
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Aldana on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Irene
Aldana
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldana has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldana is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldana has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smith 7.7
fighter Aldana 8.1
Great knockouts by Aldana
Round 1 Oct 12, 2013 vs Arce
Round 1 Oct 12, 2013 vs Saenz
Round 1 Oct 17, 2012 vs del Rincon

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smith 6.3
fighter Aldana 6.9
Great submissions by Aldana
Round 1 Feb 27, 2015 vs Schneider
Round 1 Sep 06, 2014 vs Morgan

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smith 7.3
fighter Aldana 8.1
Fast finishes by Aldana
43 seconds Oct 12, 2013 vs Arce
20 seconds Oct 12, 2013 vs Saenz
15 seconds Oct 17, 2012 vs del Rincon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 17, 2016UFC on Fox 22
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smith
legend Aldana
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus