UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldana vs Arce

1,625

CageRank

WINNER
Arce

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
50% chance Arce
WILL WIN

1,625

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mayra Arce
Stronger jaw 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Irene Aldana
Much heavier 134 lbs vs 131 lbs Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much taller 175 cm vs 165 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Arce on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldana’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mayra
Arce
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arce has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Arce is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Arce has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Aldana on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arce’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Irene
Aldana
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldana has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Aldana is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Aldana is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Arce 7.4
fighter Aldana 8.1
Great knockouts by Aldana
Round 1 Oct 12, 2013 vs Arce
Round 1 Oct 12, 2013 vs Saenz
Round 1 Oct 17, 2012 vs del Rincon

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Arce 6.5
fighter Aldana 6.9
Great submissions by Aldana
Round 1 Feb 27, 2015 vs Schneider
Round 1 Sep 06, 2014 vs Morgan

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Arce 7.0
fighter Aldana 8.1
Fast finishes by Aldana
43 seconds Oct 12, 2013 vs Arce
20 seconds Oct 12, 2013 vs Saenz
15 seconds Oct 17, 2012 vs del Rincon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 12, 2013XK 21 - Xtreme Kombat 21
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XDEC
1,5501,695
1,6201,625
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Arce
legend Aldana
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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