UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mokhtarian vs Karst

1,634

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mokhtarian

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance Mokhtarian
WILL WIN

1,452

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ashkan Mokhtarian
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 7.6 vs 6.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 7.6 vs 6.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger jaw 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Josh Karst
Heavier 144 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Mokhtarian on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Karst’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ashkan
Mokhtarian
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mokhtarian has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Mokhtarian has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Mokhtarian has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Karst on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mokhtarian’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Karst
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Karst is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Karst has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Karst has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mokhtarian 7.9
fighter Karst 6.9
Great knockouts by Mokhtarian
Round 1 Oct 10, 2015 vs Karst
Round 2 Apr 05, 2014 vs Taylor
Round 1 Feb 21, 2014 vs Browning

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mokhtarian 7.3
fighter Karst 7.2
Great submissions by Mokhtarian
Round 1 Aug 30, 2013 vs Magid
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Sutton
Round 1 Dec 01, 2011 vs Lankester

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mokhtarian 7.7
fighter Karst 7.2
Fast finishes by Mokhtarian
198 seconds Oct 10, 2015 vs Karst
356 seconds Apr 05, 2014 vs Taylor
278 seconds Aug 30, 2013 vs Magid
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 10, 2015WW - Wollongong Wars 3
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mokhtarian
legend Karst
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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