UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mokhtarian vs Arana

1,634

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mokhtarian

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Mokhtarian
WILL WIN

1,547

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ashkan Mokhtarian
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly better submission defense 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Edwin Arana
Significantly stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 7.8 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Mokhtarian on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arana’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ashkan
Mokhtarian
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mokhtarian is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mokhtarian has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Mokhtarian has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Arana on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mokhtarian’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edwin
Arana
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arana is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Arana has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Arana is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mokhtarian 7.9
fighter Arana 6.5
Great knockouts by Mokhtarian
Round 1 Oct 10, 2015 vs Karst
Round 2 Apr 05, 2014 vs Taylor
Round 1 Feb 21, 2014 vs Browning

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mokhtarian 7.3
fighter Arana 7.2
Great submissions by Mokhtarian
Round 1 Aug 30, 2013 vs Magid
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Sutton
Round 1 Dec 01, 2011 vs Lankester

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mokhtarian 7.7
fighter Arana 7.1
Fast finishes by Mokhtarian
198 seconds Oct 10, 2015 vs Karst
356 seconds Apr 05, 2014 vs Taylor
278 seconds Aug 30, 2013 vs Magid
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 11, 2014Nitro MMA - Nitro 12
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mokhtarian
legend Arana
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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