UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mokhtarian vs Kara-France

1,634

CageRank

WINNER
Kara-France

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
53% chance Kara-France
WILL WIN

1,653

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kai Kara-France
Younger 25 years vs 33 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ashkan Mokhtarian
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Kara-France on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mokhtarian’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kai
Kara-France
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kara-France is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Kara-France is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Kara-France has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Mokhtarian on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kara-France’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ashkan
Mokhtarian
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mokhtarian has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Mokhtarian is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mokhtarian is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kara-France 6.7
fighter Mokhtarian 7.9
Great knockouts by Mokhtarian
Round 1 Oct 10, 2015 vs Karst
Round 2 Apr 05, 2014 vs Taylor
Round 1 Feb 21, 2014 vs Browning

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kara-France 6.8
fighter Mokhtarian 7.3
Great submissions by Mokhtarian
Round 1 Aug 30, 2013 vs Magid
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Sutton
Round 1 Dec 01, 2011 vs Lankester

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kara-France 7.2
fighter Mokhtarian 7.7
Fast finishes by Mokhtarian
198 seconds Oct 10, 2015 vs Karst
356 seconds Apr 05, 2014 vs Taylor
278 seconds Aug 30, 2013 vs Magid
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kara-France
legend Mokhtarian
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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