UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Spitz vs Kovacs

1,456

CageRank

WINNER
Kovacs

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
70% chance Kovacs
WILL WIN

1,602

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Matt Kovacs
Significantly heavier 261 lbs vs 239 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly stronger jaw 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 7.7 vs 7.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Daniel Spitz
Much taller 201 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% taller
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 5.9 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Kovacs on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Spitz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Kovacs
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kovacs has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Kovacs is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Kovacs is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Spitz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kovacs’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Spitz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Spitz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Spitz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Spitz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kovacs 7.8
fighter Spitz 7.3
Great knockouts by Kovacs
Round 2 Oct 30, 2010 vs Bennett
Round 1 Aug 23, 2009 vs Favors
Round 1 Mar 27, 2009 vs Queen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kovacs 5.9
fighter Spitz 7.3
Great submissions by Spitz
Round 1 Mar 18, 2016 vs Benson
Round 1 Nov 06, 2015 vs Lewis
Round 1 Jul 18, 2015 vs Kovacs

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kovacs 7.4
fighter Spitz 7.3
Fast finishes by Kovacs
434 seconds Oct 30, 2010 vs Bennett
162 seconds Aug 23, 2009 vs Favors
12 seconds Mar 27, 2009 vs Queen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kovacs
legend Spitz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus