UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ngannou vs Jones

1,612

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
99% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much stronger jaw 9.7 vs 7.8 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.8 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Francis Ngannou
Significantly heavier 258 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ngannou’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ngannou on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francis
Ngannou
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ngannou is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ngannou is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ngannou is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Ngannou 7.4
Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Ngannou 7.5
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Ngannou 7.7
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Ngannou
Read More
Ngannou vs Lewis
Fantasy Cage Match
Jones vs St. Pierre
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 14 comments.
yea ur right. Jones does have a chin from all the banned USADA substances hes taken over the years. smh.
thats ok. miocic will lose to cormier then cormier vacates belt thereafter Cain reclaims the title againt miocic, only casuals call other people casuals btw.
Your "logic": When Ngannou wins a fight it proves he's the best and can beat everyone, but when Ngannou loses a fight it proves nothing in reverse. You're not particularly big on logical consistency are you? The fact is, Ngannou just happened to catch an aging, slowing fighter with a glass chin who made a reckless mistake. All it proved is that he has power, which was already known. The Stipe fight however proved that 1) Ngannou's punches can in fact be weathered with a strong chin, 2) Ngannou throws wild, sometimes sloppy and desperate, haymakers that can be easily avoided by a quick fighter with good footwork, reflexes, distance control, head movement, and counter-striking fundamentals, 3) Ngannou opens himself to be vulnerable to many different counters and takedowns, 4) Ngannou's defensive grappling is very incomplete and he's very deficient on the ground, 5) Ngannou quickly gasses and loses his confidence if he doesn't catch his opponent with an early knockout, 6) Ngannou is vulnerable to submissions, ground and pound, and simply cannot escape from certain basic wrestling pins, 7) Ngannou is not very strategic or advanced, he's just a brawler that goes in with barely any gameplan beyond just looking for one big knockout punch - far too one dimensional.
Smh. Of course he does, but it's funny how all you casuals aboard the Ngannou hype train didn't understand that basic fact *before* the Stipe fight. Y'all acted like Ngannou was suddenly an unbeatable superhuman just because he knocked out Overeem. To bring things back on topic though, Overeem has a weak chin compared to Jon Jones also. That's "so what". Jones has an iron chin just like Stipe, and is an even better wrestler and overall grappler than Stipe, and an even more skilled/clever/strategic/advanced MMA fighter. So Ngannou's defeat to Miocic demonstrates that he'd probably fare similarly if not worse against Johnny Bones.
So what. Overeem has a weak chin compared to Stipe
Uhh no. Anyone can get beat foo!
That's a question you should be asking yourself.
How about now after he got completely exposed and outclassed against Stipe?
haha right
Does it suck being wrong?
How about now after that tiger uppercut on overeem?
Lol ok bud.
You're one of those kids who thinks the big muscular fighter always wins. This isn't a comic book. In reality Jones would pick him apart in standup, perfectly keep distance, and probably take him down to finish. The skill difference is massive between them.
haha yea right. Ngannou would smash JJ
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