UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mendes vs Saenz

1,568

CageRank

WINNER
Saenz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Saenz
WILL WIN

1,808

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Saenz
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Augusto Mendes
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Saenz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mendes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Saenz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saenz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Saenz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Saenz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Mendes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saenz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Augusto
Mendes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mendes is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Mendes has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mendes is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saenz 7.5
fighter Mendes 7.2
Great knockouts by Saenz
Round 4 Feb 22, 2014 vs Blumer
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Parker
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Mendoza

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saenz 7.3
fighter Mendes 7.8
Great submissions by Mendes
Round 2 Jul 17, 2015 vs Williams
Round 1 Nov 14, 2014 vs Delfin
Round 2 Aug 02, 2014 vs Castro

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saenz 7.5
fighter Mendes 7.9
Fast finishes by Mendes
380 seconds Jul 17, 2015 vs Williams
49 seconds Nov 14, 2014 vs Delfin
499 seconds Aug 02, 2014 vs Castro
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saenz
legend Mendes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus