UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Inoue vs Kato

1,550

CageRank

WINNER
Kato

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
64% chance Kato
WILL WIN

1,653

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Naoyuki Kato
Much heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Naoki Inoue
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.1 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much younger 20 years vs 34 years More than 40% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Kato on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Inoue’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Naoyuki
Kato
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kato has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Kato is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Kato is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Inoue on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kato’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Naoki
Inoue
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Inoue is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Inoue has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Inoue is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kato 7.6
fighter Inoue 7.3
Great knockouts by Kato
Round 2 Nov 27, 2011 vs Motoya
Round 1 May 22, 2011 vs Shinokawa
Round 2 Jul 26, 2009 vs Kawai

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kato 6.1
fighter Inoue 7.7
Great submissions by Inoue
Round 1 Apr 23, 2016 vs Akiba
Round 1 Mar 08, 2015 vs Sato
Round 1 Feb 09, 2014 vs Sakamoto

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kato 7.3
fighter Inoue 7.7
Fast finishes by Inoue
272 seconds Apr 23, 2016 vs Akiba
169 seconds Mar 08, 2015 vs Sato
184 seconds Feb 09, 2014 vs Sakamoto
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kato
legend Inoue
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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