UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Marquez vs Rodriguez

1,657

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Marquez

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
81% chance Marquez
WILL WIN

1,406

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Julian Marquez
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 7.7 vs 6.7 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 7.7 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 7.7 vs 7.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Tony Rodriguez
Much heavier 219 lbs vs 184 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Marquez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rodriguez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Julian
Marquez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marquez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Marquez has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Marquez is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Rodriguez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marquez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Rodriguez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rodriguez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rodriguez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Marquez 7.3
fighter Rodriguez 7.1
Great knockouts by Marquez
Round 1 May 19, 2017 vs Olson
Round 1 Oct 14, 2016 vs Hamill
Round 1 May 24, 2014 vs Rooks

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Marquez 7.8
fighter Rodriguez 7.1
Great submissions by Marquez
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Handley
Round 1 Jun 30, 2012 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Nov 20, 2010 vs Thomas

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Marquez 8.2
fighter Rodriguez 7.1
Fast finishes by Marquez
164 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Handley
75 seconds Jun 30, 2012 vs Rodriguez
12 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs Thomas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 30, 2012RFA 3
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,5501,500
1,5931,457
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Marquez
legend Rodriguez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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