UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Houston vs Brunson

1,658

CageRank

WINNER
Brunson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
76% chance Brunson
WILL WIN

1,862

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Derek Brunson
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Slightly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Brian Houston
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Brunson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Houston’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Brunson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brunson Houston
Significant Strikes58
Brunson's average striking offense is matched by Houston's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Brunson's average takedown offense is matched by Houston's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brunson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Brunson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Brunson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Houston on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brunson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Houston
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Houston Brunson
Significant Strikes50
Houston's average striking offense is matched by Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Houston's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brunson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Houston is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Houston is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Houston is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brunson 8.2
fighter Houston 8.0
Great striking by Brunson
1 strike Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
41 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs Leben
40 strikes Nov 18, 2011 vs James

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brunson 8.5
fighter Houston 8.3
Great takedowns by Brunson
4 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Leben
5 takedowns Nov 18, 2011 vs James

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brunson 7.6
fighter Houston 7.6
Great knockouts by Houston
Round 1 Jul 27, 2013 vs Jones
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Meredith
Round 1 Oct 20, 2012 vs Hird

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brunson 7.6
fighter Houston 6.8
Great submissions by Brunson
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Brower

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brunson 8.4
fighter Houston 7.8
Fast finishes by Brunson
48 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs Houston
273 seconds Jul 30, 2011 vs Sayers
102 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs McNally
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XDEC
1,7241,900
1,6981,926
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brunson
legend Houston
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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