UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Branch vs Palhares

2,069

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
54% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 7.5 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for David Branch
Much heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.3 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.1 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Branch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 8:59, how much damage will he do? Palhares Branch
Significant Strikes14
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 81 Significant Strikes in 8:59
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:59
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Branch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Branch
In 8:59, how much damage will he do? Branch Palhares
Significant Strikes26
Branch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 81 Significant Strikes in 8:59
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Branch's good takedown offense is matched by Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:59
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Branch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Branch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Branch has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Branch 8.1
Great striking by Branch
16 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Attonito
15 strikes Sep 15, 2010 vs Drwal

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Branch 8.9
Great takedowns by Branch
4 takedowns Dec 04, 2010 vs Attonito
3 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Drwal

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Branch 7.5
Great knockouts by Branch
Round 3 May 27, 2011 vs May
Round 2 Mar 19, 2010 vs Troyer
Round 1 May 09, 2008 vs Aquino

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Branch 7.5
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Branch 7.9
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,9011,962
1,8602,003
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Branch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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