UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Branch vs Souza

2,069

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for David Branch
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Branch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 9:54, how much damage will he do? Souza Branch
Significant Strikes37
Souza's good striking offense is matched by Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:54
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:54
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Branch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Branch
In 9:54, how much damage will he do? Branch Souza
Significant Strikes18
Branch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:54
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Branch's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:54
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Branch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Branch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Branch has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Branch 8.1
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Branch 8.9
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Branch 7.5
Great knockouts by Branch
Round 3 May 27, 2011 vs May
Round 2 Mar 19, 2010 vs Troyer
Round 1 May 09, 2008 vs Aquino

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Branch 7.5
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Branch 7.9
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Branch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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