UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Branch vs Mehmen

2,069

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Branch

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Branch
WILL WIN

1,934

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for David Branch
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Derrick Mehmen
Significantly heavier 236 lbs vs 184 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Branch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mehmen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Branch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Branch Mehmen
Significant Strikes58
Branch's average striking offense is matched by Mehmen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Branch's good takedown offense may be a factor against Mehmen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Branch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Branch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Branch has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Mehmen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Branch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Mehmen
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mehmen Branch
Significant Strikes41
Mehmen's average striking offense won't be a factor against Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Mehmen's average takedown offense is matched by Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mehmen is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mehmen is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mehmen is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Branch 8.9
fighter Mehmen 8.5
Great takedowns by Branch
4 takedowns Dec 04, 2010 vs Attonito
3 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Drwal

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Branch 7.5
fighter Mehmen 7.8
Great knockouts by Mehmen
Round 2 Sep 14, 2013 vs Gracie
Round 1 May 15, 2010 vs Richards
Round 1 Nov 07, 2009 vs Poling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Branch 7.5
fighter Mehmen 6.4
Great submissions by Branch
Round 2 Apr 22, 2010 vs Mehmen
Round 1 Jun 12, 2009 vs Olson
Round 2 Dec 13, 2008 vs Huston

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Branch 7.9
fighter Mehmen 7.8
Fast finishes by Branch
326 seconds Apr 22, 2010 vs Mehmen
566 seconds Mar 19, 2010 vs Troyer
147 seconds Jun 12, 2009 vs Olson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 22, 2010Bellator 15
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,7771,770
1,8261,721
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Branch
legend Mehmen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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