UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Branch vs Santos

2,069

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Branch

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
90% chance Branch
WILL WIN

1,679

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for David Branch
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 7.9 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Thiago Santos
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Branch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Branch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Branch Santos
Significant Strikes58
Branch's average striking offense is matched by Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Branch's good takedown offense may be a factor against Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Branch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Branch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Branch has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Branch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Santos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Santos Branch
Significant Strikes37
Santos's average striking offense won't be a factor against Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Santos's average takedown offense is matched by Branch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santos is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Branch 8.9
fighter Santos 8.3
Great takedowns by Branch
4 takedowns Dec 04, 2010 vs Attonito
3 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Drwal

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Branch 7.5
fighter Santos 7.8
Great knockouts by Santos
Round 1 Jul 27, 2012 vs Figueira da Silva
Round 1 Aug 13, 2011 vs Braga
Round 2 Apr 16, 2011 vs Barreiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Branch 7.5
fighter Santos 6.5
Great submissions by Branch
Round 2 Apr 22, 2010 vs Mehmen
Round 1 Jun 12, 2009 vs Olson
Round 2 Dec 13, 2008 vs Huston

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Branch 7.9
fighter Santos 7.8
Fast finishes by Branch
326 seconds Apr 22, 2010 vs Mehmen
566 seconds Mar 19, 2010 vs Troyer
147 seconds Jun 12, 2009 vs Olson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Branch
legend Santos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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