UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jackson vs Morgan

1,489

CageRank

WINNER
Morgan

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Morgan
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.0 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 6.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Sam Jackson
Significantly heavier 169 lbs vs 164 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jackson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Morgan has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Jackson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Jackson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jackson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Jackson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Jackson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Morgan 6.2
fighter Jackson 6.9
Great knockouts by Jackson
Round 2 Apr 04, 2009 vs Simpson
Round 1 Jan 26, 2008 vs Montoya
Round 1 Jul 22, 2006 vs Young

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Morgan 7.6
fighter Jackson 6.0
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Morgan 7.5
fighter Jackson 6.4
Fast finishes by Morgan
52 seconds Apr 09, 2005 vs Ludwig
161 seconds Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
178 seconds Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XSUB
1,3461,684
1,3331,696
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Morgan
legend Jackson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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