UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cullum vs Nishiura

1,729

CageRank

WINNER
Nishiura

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Nishiura
WILL WIN

1,746

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Akiyo Nishiura
Significantly heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 144 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Abel Cullum
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.1 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.8 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Nishiura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cullum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Akiyo
Nishiura
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nishiura Cullum
Significant Strikes62
Nishiura's average striking offense is matched by Cullum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Nishiura's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cullum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nishiura is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nishiura is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nishiura has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cullum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nishiura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Abel
Cullum
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cullum Nishiura
Significant Strikes54
Cullum's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nishiura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Cullum's good takedown offense may be a factor against Nishiura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cullum is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cullum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cullum is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nishiura 8.3
fighter Cullum 8.4
Great striking by Cullum
29 strikes Mar 08, 2009 vs Nishiura

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nishiura 7.8
fighter Cullum 8.8
Great takedowns by Cullum
7 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nishiura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nishiura 7.2
fighter Cullum 6.7
Great knockouts by Nishiura
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Tokoro
Round 3 Jul 18, 2008 vs Lahdesmaki
Round 1 Feb 11, 2008 vs Man Kim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nishiura 6.1
fighter Cullum 8.1
Great submissions by Cullum
Round 1 Feb 12, 2010 vs Coca
Round 5 May 17, 2008 vs Diaz
Round 1 Feb 09, 2008 vs Jenkins

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nishiura 7.2
fighter Cullum 8.1
Fast finishes by Cullum
129 seconds Feb 12, 2010 vs Coca
1287 seconds May 17, 2008 vs Diaz
162 seconds Mar 10, 2007 vs Sedillo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 8, 2009Dream 7
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
R2 SUBX
1,8401,774
1,8811,734
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nishiura
legend Cullum
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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