UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McKee vs Aoki

1,967

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 6.8 More than 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much younger 33 years vs 47 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Antonio McKee
Better striker 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 153 lbs Almost the same
Heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McKee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
In 9:10, how much damage will he do? Aoki McKee
Significant Strikes18
Aoki's poor striking offense won't be a factor against McKee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:10
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Aoki's excellent takedown offense will dominate McKee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:10
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aoki is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McKee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
McKee
In 9:10, how much damage will he do? McKee Aoki
Significant Strikes14
McKee's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:10
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McKee's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:10
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McKee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McKee is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McKee has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.6
fighter McKee 8.8
Great takedowns by Aoki
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
6 takedowns Dec 31, 2011 vs Kitaoka
1 takedown Apr 29, 2008 vs Cavalcante

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter McKee 6.7
Great knockouts by McKee
Round 1 Sep 10, 2010 vs Azevedo
Round 2 Feb 02, 2007 vs Rivas
Round 1 Jan 13, 2001 vs Estrada

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter McKee 6.8
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter McKee 7.5
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 31, 2012Dream 18
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR1 SUB
2,0752,194
2,0422,227
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend McKee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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