UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ikemoto vs Aoki

1,697

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
96% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 8.3 More than 20% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 6.8 Around 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.4 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.3 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.7 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 34 years vs 41 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Seichi Ikemoto
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 155 lbs vs 153 lbs Almost the same
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ikemoto’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
In 8:49, how much damage will he do? Aoki Ikemoto
Significant Strikes24
Aoki's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Ikemoto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:49
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Aoki's excellent takedown offense will dominate Ikemoto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:49
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aoki has a chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Ikemoto on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Seichi
Ikemoto
In 8:49, how much damage will he do? Ikemoto Aoki
Significant Strikes15
Ikemoto's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:49
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Ikemoto's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ikemoto is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ikemoto is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ikemoto is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.6
fighter Ikemoto 8.3
Great takedowns by Aoki
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
6 takedowns Dec 31, 2011 vs Kitaoka
1 takedown Apr 29, 2008 vs Cavalcante

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Ikemoto 7.2
Great knockouts by Ikemoto
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Monma
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Jin Eoh
Round 2 May 26, 2001 vs Buck

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Ikemoto 6.9
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Ikemoto 7.4
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 3, 2004Deep - 15th Impact
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5311,600
1,4911,640
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Ikemoto
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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