UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Noble vs Edwards

1,768

CageRank

WINNER
Edwards

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Edwards
WILL WIN

1,807

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yves Edwards
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Derrick Noble
Much stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Edwards on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Noble’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yves
Edwards
In 10:52, how much damage will he do? Edwards Noble
Significant Strikes58
Edwards's good striking offense may be a factor against Noble's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Edwards's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Noble's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edwards has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Edwards is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edwards is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Noble on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edwards’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Noble
In 10:52, how much damage will he do? Noble Edwards
Significant Strikes54
Noble's average striking offense is matched by Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Noble's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Noble is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Noble is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Noble is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edwards 8.7
fighter Noble 8.6
Great striking by Edwards
8 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
33 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs McKenzie
4 strikes May 22, 2005 vs Mishima

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edwards 8.0
fighter Noble 7.2
Great knockouts by Edwards
Round 1 Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Noble
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Jensen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edwards 7.4
fighter Noble 7.7
Great submissions by Noble
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Benoit
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Sexton
Round 2 Dec 06, 2003 vs Alves

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edwards 8.1
fighter Noble 7.7
Fast finishes by Edwards
115 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
164 seconds Oct 10, 2009 vs Jensen
276 seconds May 22, 2005 vs Mishima
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 26, 2010MFC 24
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,8961,912
1,8491,960
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edwards
legend Noble
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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