UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hansen vs Ishida

1,858

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hansen

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Hansen
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joachim Hansen
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.5 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Hansen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joachim
Hansen
In 11:25, how much damage will he do? Hansen Ishida
Significant Strikes32
Hansen's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:25
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hansen's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hansen is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hansen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hansen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hansen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 11:25, how much damage will he do? Ishida Hansen
Significant Strikes39
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Hansen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:25
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hansen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:25
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hansen 8.4
fighter Ishida 8.2
Great striking by Hansen
9 strikes May 29, 2011 vs Ishida
12 strikes Jul 21, 2008 vs Aoki
17 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Edwards

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hansen 8.4
fighter Ishida 9.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hansen 6.9
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Hansen
Round 1 Jul 21, 2008 vs Aoki
Round 1 Apr 02, 2006 vs Azeredo
Round 3 Mar 26, 2005 vs Uno

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hansen 8.2
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Hansen
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Seo
Round 1 Sep 25, 2010 vs Tokoro
Round 3 Feb 24, 2007 vs Ireland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hansen 7.8
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Hansen
259 seconds Jul 21, 2008 vs Aoki
429 seconds Apr 02, 2006 vs Azeredo
888 seconds Mar 26, 2005 vs Uno
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
XDEC
1,8801,960
1,9411,899
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hansen
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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