UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Santiago vs Prangley

1,933

CageRank

WINNER
Prangley

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Prangley
WILL WIN

2,005

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Trevor Prangley
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Jorge Santiago
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 37 years vs 45 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Prangley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santiago’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Trevor
Prangley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Prangley Santiago
Significant Strikes50
Prangley's average striking offense is matched by Santiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Prangley's average takedown offense is matched by Santiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Prangley is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Prangley has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Prangley has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Santiago on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Prangley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Santiago
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Santiago Prangley
Significant Strikes63
Santiago's average striking offense is matched by Prangley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Santiago's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Prangley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santiago has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Santiago has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Santiago is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Prangley 8.2
fighter Santiago 8.3
Great striking by Santiago
11 strikes Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley
2 strikes Nov 16, 2007 vs Salmon
9 strikes Jun 28, 2006 vs Levens

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Prangley 8.2
fighter Santiago 7.7
Great takedowns by Prangley
6 takedowns Sep 20, 2008 vs Ruiz
5 takedowns Aug 20, 2005 vs Lutter
2 takedowns Jun 19, 2004 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Prangley 7.5
fighter Santiago 8.3
Great knockouts by Santiago
Round 5 Aug 22, 2010 vs Misaki
Round 3 Nov 01, 2008 vs Nakamura
Round 1 Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Prangley 8.3
fighter Santiago 8.2
Great submissions by Prangley
Round 2 Jun 13, 2013 vs Lopez
Round 1 Mar 27, 2009 vs Gonzalez
Round 1 Jan 25, 2003 vs Sonnen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Prangley 8.3
fighter Santiago 8.7
Fast finishes by Santiago
1406 seconds Jan 04, 2009 vs Misaki
151 seconds Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley
182 seconds Sep 01, 2007 vs Horn
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XDEC
1,9091,979
1,9691,919
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Prangley
legend Santiago
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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