UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Santiago vs Salmon

1,933

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Santiago

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance Santiago
WILL WIN

1,380

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Santiago
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 6.6 Around 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 6.3 More than 50% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.3 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.7 vs 7.3 Around 35% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 37 years vs 40 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Sean Salmon
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Santiago on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Salmon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Santiago
In 1:26, how much damage will he do? Santiago Salmon
Significant Strikes6
Santiago's average striking offense is matched by Salmon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 13 Significant Strikes in 1:26
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Santiago's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Salmon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:26
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santiago has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Santiago has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Santiago is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Salmon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santiago’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sean
Salmon
In 1:26, how much damage will he do? Salmon Santiago
Significant Strikes4
Salmon's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Santiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 13 Significant Strikes in 1:26
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Salmon's average takedown offense is matched by Santiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Salmon is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Salmon is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Salmon is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Santiago 8.3
fighter Salmon 8.0
Great striking by Santiago
11 strikes Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley
2 strikes Nov 16, 2007 vs Salmon
9 strikes Jun 28, 2006 vs Levens

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Santiago 8.3
fighter Salmon 6.3
Great knockouts by Santiago
Round 5 Aug 22, 2010 vs Misaki
Round 3 Nov 01, 2008 vs Nakamura
Round 1 Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Santiago 8.2
fighter Salmon 6.4
Great submissions by Santiago
Round 1 Jun 15, 2012 vs Guthrie
Round 5 Jan 04, 2009 vs Misaki
Round 1 Sep 01, 2007 vs Horn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Santiago 8.7
fighter Salmon 6.6
Fast finishes by Santiago
1406 seconds Jan 04, 2009 vs Misaki
151 seconds Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley
182 seconds Sep 01, 2007 vs Horn
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,8601,856
1,9091,806
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Santiago
legend Salmon
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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