UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Santiago vs Clark

1,933

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Santiago

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance Santiago
WILL WIN

1,751

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Santiago
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Logan Clark
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Santiago on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Clark’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Santiago
In 9:29, how much damage will he do? Santiago Clark
Significant Strikes33
Santiago's average striking offense won't be a factor against Clark's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:29
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Santiago's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Clark's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:29
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santiago has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Santiago has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Santiago is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Clark on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santiago’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Logan
Clark
In 9:29, how much damage will he do? Clark Santiago
Significant Strikes34
Clark's average striking offense is matched by Santiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:29
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Clark's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Santiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:29
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Clark is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Clark has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Clark is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Santiago 8.3
fighter Clark 8.3
Great striking by Santiago
11 strikes Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley
2 strikes Nov 16, 2007 vs Salmon
9 strikes Jun 28, 2006 vs Levens

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Santiago 8.3
fighter Clark 6.8
Great knockouts by Santiago
Round 5 Aug 22, 2010 vs Misaki
Round 3 Nov 01, 2008 vs Nakamura
Round 1 Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Santiago 8.2
fighter Clark 8.1
Great submissions by Santiago
Round 1 Jun 15, 2012 vs Guthrie
Round 5 Jan 04, 2009 vs Misaki
Round 1 Sep 01, 2007 vs Horn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Santiago 8.7
fighter Clark 8.1
Fast finishes by Santiago
1406 seconds Jan 04, 2009 vs Misaki
151 seconds Nov 16, 2007 vs Prangley
182 seconds Sep 01, 2007 vs Horn
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 28, 2008Sengoku - Fifth Battle
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,9881,817
2,0151,790
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Santiago
legend Clark
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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