UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rothwell vs Wiezorek

1,950

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rothwell

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
70% chance Rothwell
WILL WIN

1,802

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Rothwell
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.0 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 262 lbs vs 250 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Younger 36 years vs 39 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jonathan Wiezorek
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Rothwell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wiezorek’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Rothwell
In 9:21, how much damage will he do? Rothwell Wiezorek
Significant Strikes55
Rothwell's good striking offense may be a factor against Wiezorek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:21
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rothwell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Wiezorek's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:21
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rothwell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rothwell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rothwell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Wiezorek on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rothwell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jonathan
Wiezorek
In 9:21, how much damage will he do? Wiezorek Rothwell
Significant Strikes36
Wiezorek's average striking offense is matched by Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:21
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Wiezorek's average takedown offense is matched by Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wiezorek is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Wiezorek has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wiezorek is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rothwell 8.7
fighter Wiezorek 8.1
Great striking by Rothwell
8 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
44 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Yvel
16 strikes Sep 20, 2007 vs Rodriguez

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.5
fighter Wiezorek 8.4
Great takedowns by Wiezorek
1 takedown Apr 02, 2004 vs Shipp

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rothwell 8.5
fighter Wiezorek 7.5
Great knockouts by Rothwell
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Vera
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
Round 1 Oct 15, 2004 vs Wiezorek

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.2
fighter Wiezorek 8.3
Great submissions by Wiezorek
Round 1 Feb 11, 2006 vs Buchkovich
Round 2 Apr 21, 2001 vs Severn
Round 1 Jun 24, 2000 vs Wilson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rothwell 8.4
fighter Wiezorek 8.7
Fast finishes by Wiezorek
350 seconds Jun 02, 2007 vs Persey
103 seconds Feb 11, 2006 vs Buchkovich
363 seconds Apr 21, 2001 vs Severn
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,7731,761
1,8221,713
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rothwell
legend Wiezorek
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus