UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rothwell vs Schaub

1,950

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rothwell

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
59% chance Rothwell
WILL WIN

1,890

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Rothwell
Significantly heavier 262 lbs vs 237 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 204 cm vs 199 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.2 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Brendan Schaub
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Rothwell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Schaub’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Rothwell
In 10:23, how much damage will he do? Rothwell Schaub
Significant Strikes49
Rothwell's good striking offense may be a factor against Schaub's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:23
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rothwell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Schaub's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:23
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rothwell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rothwell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rothwell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Schaub on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rothwell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brendan
Schaub
In 10:23, how much damage will he do? Schaub Rothwell
Significant Strikes59
Schaub's good striking offense may be a factor against Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:23
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Schaub's average takedown offense is matched by Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Schaub has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Schaub is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Schaub is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rothwell 8.7
fighter Schaub 8.9
Great striking by Schaub
40 strikes Mar 19, 2011 vs Filipovic
53 strikes Oct 23, 2010 vs Gonzaga
10 strikes Jul 03, 2010 vs Tuchscherer

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.5
fighter Schaub 8.5
Great takedowns by Schaub
1 takedown Sep 21, 2013 vs Mitrione
5 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Johnson
4 takedowns Mar 19, 2011 vs Filipovic

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rothwell 8.5
fighter Schaub 8.2
Great knockouts by Rothwell
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Vera
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
Round 1 Oct 15, 2004 vs Wiezorek

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.2
fighter Schaub 7.0
Great submissions by Rothwell
Round 2 May 19, 2007 vs Fulton
Round 1 Oct 04, 2002 vs Fulton
Round 1 Feb 16, 2002 vs Schall

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rothwell 8.4
fighter Schaub 8.3
Fast finishes by Rothwell
70 seconds Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
491 seconds May 19, 2007 vs Fulton
300 seconds Oct 04, 2002 vs Fulton
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 21, 2012UFC 145
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,9231,874
1,9661,831
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rothwell
legend Schaub
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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