UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rothwell vs Rodriguez

1,950

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rothwell

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
74% chance Rothwell
WILL WIN

1,765

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Rothwell
Much heavier 262 lbs vs 225 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 36 years vs 40 years 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Ricco Rodriguez
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Rothwell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rodriguez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Rothwell
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Rothwell Rodriguez
Significant Strikes47
Rothwell's good striking offense won't be a factor against Rodriguez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rothwell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rodriguez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rothwell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rothwell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rothwell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Rodriguez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rothwell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricco
Rodriguez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Rodriguez Rothwell
Significant Strikes61
Rodriguez's average striking offense is matched by Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Rodriguez's average takedown offense is matched by Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rothwell 8.7
fighter Rodriguez 8.2
Great striking by Rothwell
8 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
44 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Yvel
16 strikes Sep 20, 2007 vs Rodriguez

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.5
fighter Rodriguez 8.4
Great takedowns by Rodriguez
4 takedowns Sep 27, 2002 vs Couture
3 takedowns May 10, 2002 vs Kosaka
5 takedowns Nov 02, 2001 vs Williams

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rothwell 8.5
fighter Rodriguez 7.1
Great knockouts by Rothwell
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Vera
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
Round 1 Oct 15, 2004 vs Wiezorek

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.2
fighter Rodriguez 7.5
Great submissions by Rodriguez
Round 2 Oct 04, 2008 vs Broughton
Round 5 Sep 27, 2002 vs Couture
Round 2 Feb 24, 2001 vs Buentello

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rothwell 8.4
fighter Rodriguez 7.7
Fast finishes by Rothwell
70 seconds Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
491 seconds May 19, 2007 vs Fulton
300 seconds Oct 04, 2002 vs Fulton
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 KOX
2,0611,938
2,0941,905
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rothwell
legend Rodriguez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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