UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rothwell vs dos Santos

1,950

CageRank

WINNER
dos Santos

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance dos Santos
WILL WIN

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Ben Rothwell
Significantly heavier 262 lbs vs 239 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rothwell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 12:22, how much damage will he do? dos Santos Rothwell
Significant Strikes87
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:22
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:22
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rothwell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Rothwell
In 12:22, how much damage will he do? Rothwell dos Santos
Significant Strikes50
Rothwell's good striking offense is matched by dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:22
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rothwell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:22
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rothwell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rothwell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rothwell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Santos 9.6
fighter Rothwell 8.7
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Santos 7.7
fighter Rothwell 7.5
Great takedowns by dos Santos
1 takedown May 25, 2013 vs Hunt
2 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Carwin
1 takedown Aug 07, 2010 vs Nelson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Santos 9.2
fighter Rothwell 8.5
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Santos 6.9
fighter Rothwell 7.2
Great submissions by Rothwell
Round 2 May 19, 2007 vs Fulton
Round 1 Oct 04, 2002 vs Fulton
Round 1 Feb 16, 2002 vs Schall

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Santos 8.6
fighter Rothwell 8.4
Fast finishes by dos Santos
484 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Mir
64 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
81 seconds Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 10, 2016UFC Fight Night 86
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Santos
legend Rothwell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus