CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Rothwell vs dos Santos
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Better striker | 9.6 | vs | 8.7 | Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Significantly harder to hit | 9.1 | vs | 8.5 | More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Better takedown defense | 9.0 | vs | 8.5 | More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down |
Heavier hands | 9.2 | vs | 8.5 | Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders |
Stronger jaw | 9.4 | vs | 9.0 | Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Stronger takedown offense | 7.7 | vs | 7.5 | Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Puts up a fight | 9.7 | vs | 9.4 | Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Fast finishes | 8.6 | vs | 8.4 | Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Slightly younger | 34 years | vs | 36 years | More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Advantages for Ben Rothwell
Significantly heavier | 262 lbs | vs | 239 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Better submission offense | 7.2 | vs | 6.9 | Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Better submission defense | 9.0 | vs | 8.7 | Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
dos Santos on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rothwell’s defensive skills
Predictions For Junior dos Santos |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 12:22, how much damage will he do? | dos Santos | Rothwell | |
Significant Strikes87
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:22 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:22 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission |
Below average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Rothwell on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For Ben Rothwell |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 12:22, how much damage will he do? | Rothwell | dos Santos | |
Significant Strikes50
Rothwell's good striking offense is matched by dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:22 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Good
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Rothwell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:22 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Rothwell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Rothwell is unlikely to win by submission |
Average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Rothwell is unlikely to win by decision |
Poor
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes | May 26, 2012 | vs Mir |
8 strikes | Nov 12, 2011 | vs Velasquez |
70 strikes | Sep 19, 2009 | vs Filipovic |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 | May 26, 2012 | vs Mir |
Round 1 | Nov 12, 2011 | vs Velasquez |
Round 1 | Oct 25, 2008 | vs Werdum |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by dos Santos
484 seconds | May 26, 2012 | vs Mir |
64 seconds | Nov 12, 2011 | vs Velasquez |
81 seconds | Oct 25, 2008 | vs Werdum |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?