UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rothwell vs Werdum

1,950

CageRank

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
80% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Ben Rothwell
Significantly heavier 262 lbs vs 242 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 204 cm vs 196 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rothwell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 11:26, how much damage will he do? Werdum Rothwell
Significant Strikes69
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Werdum's average takedown offense is matched by Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rothwell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Rothwell
In 11:26, how much damage will he do? Rothwell Werdum
Significant Strikes41
Rothwell's good striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:26
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rothwell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:26
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rothwell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rothwell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rothwell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Rothwell 8.7
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Rothwell 7.5
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Rothwell 8.5
Great knockouts by Rothwell
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Vera
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
Round 1 Oct 15, 2004 vs Wiezorek

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Rothwell 7.2
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Rothwell 8.4
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Rothwell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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