UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rothwell vs Vera

1,950

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rothwell

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Rothwell
WILL WIN

1,808

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Rothwell
Much stronger jaw 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 262 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 204 cm vs 194 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Brandon Vera
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Rothwell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vera’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Rothwell
In 11:24, how much damage will he do? Rothwell Vera
Significant Strikes53
Rothwell's good striking offense may be a factor against Vera's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:24
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rothwell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Vera's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:24
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rothwell has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rothwell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rothwell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Vera on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rothwell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brandon
Vera
In 11:24, how much damage will he do? Vera Rothwell
Significant Strikes59
Vera's good striking offense may be a factor against Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:24
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Vera's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:24
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vera is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Vera is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Vera is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rothwell 8.7
fighter Vera 8.7
Great striking by Rothwell
8 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
44 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Yvel
16 strikes Sep 20, 2007 vs Rodriguez

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.5
fighter Vera 7.6
Great takedowns by Vera
1 takedown Oct 29, 2011 vs Marshall
1 takedown Aug 29, 2009 vs Soszynski
2 takedowns Jul 19, 2008 vs Andy

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rothwell 8.5
fighter Vera 7.7
Great knockouts by Rothwell
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Vera
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
Round 1 Oct 15, 2004 vs Wiezorek

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.2
fighter Vera 6.7
Great submissions by Rothwell
Round 2 May 19, 2007 vs Fulton
Round 1 Oct 04, 2002 vs Fulton
Round 1 Feb 16, 2002 vs Schall

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rothwell 8.4
fighter Vera 7.8
Fast finishes by Rothwell
70 seconds Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
491 seconds May 19, 2007 vs Fulton
300 seconds Oct 04, 2002 vs Fulton
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 31, 2013UFC 164
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R1 KOX
1,9081,849
1,9501,808
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rothwell
legend Vera
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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