UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rothwell vs Yvel

1,950

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rothwell

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Rothwell
WILL WIN

1,858

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Rothwell
Much better takedown defense 8.5 vs 6.9 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier 262 lbs vs 225 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 204 cm vs 196 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 7.5 vs 7.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 36 years vs 41 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better submission offense 7.2 vs 7.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Gilbert Yvel
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Rothwell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Yvel’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Rothwell
In 10:52, how much damage will he do? Rothwell Yvel
Significant Strikes57
Rothwell's good striking offense may be a factor against Yvel's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Rothwell's below average takedown offense may be a factor against Yvel's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rothwell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rothwell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rothwell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Yvel on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rothwell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Yvel
In 10:52, how much damage will he do? Yvel Rothwell
Significant Strikes35
Yvel's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Yvel's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Yvel has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Yvel is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Yvel is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rothwell 8.7
fighter Yvel 7.8
Great striking by Rothwell
8 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
44 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Yvel
16 strikes Sep 20, 2007 vs Rodriguez

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.5
fighter Yvel 7.1
Great takedowns by Rothwell
5 takedowns Jun 12, 2010 vs Yvel
1 takedown Apr 29, 2006 vs Soszynski

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rothwell 8.5
fighter Yvel 8.4
Great knockouts by Rothwell
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Vera
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
Round 1 Oct 15, 2004 vs Wiezorek

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.2
fighter Yvel 7.0
Great submissions by Rothwell
Round 2 May 19, 2007 vs Fulton
Round 1 Oct 04, 2002 vs Fulton
Round 1 Feb 16, 2002 vs Schall

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rothwell 8.4
fighter Yvel 8.9
Fast finishes by Yvel
130 seconds Jun 27, 2009 vs Rizzo
98 seconds Nov 12, 2006 vs Glunder
793 seconds Apr 20, 2000 vs Tamura
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 12, 2010UFC 115
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
1,9671,867
2,0031,831
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rothwell
legend Yvel
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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