UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rothwell vs Barreto

1,950

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rothwell

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Rothwell
WILL WIN

1,673

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Rothwell
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier 262 lbs vs 230 lbs Around 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 36 years vs 49 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Carlos Barreto
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.5 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly better submission defense 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Rothwell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barreto’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Rothwell
In 9:59, how much damage will he do? Rothwell Barreto
Significant Strikes44
Rothwell's good striking offense is matched by Barreto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:59
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rothwell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barreto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:59
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rothwell has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rothwell is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rothwell is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Barreto on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rothwell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Barreto
In 9:59, how much damage will he do? Barreto Rothwell
Significant Strikes36
Barreto's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:59
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Barreto's good takedown offense may be a factor against Rothwell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:59
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barreto is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barreto is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barreto is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rothwell 8.7
fighter Barreto 8.0
Great striking by Rothwell
8 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
44 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Yvel
16 strikes Sep 20, 2007 vs Rodriguez

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.5
fighter Barreto 8.8
Great takedowns by Barreto
3 takedowns Jun 04, 2000 vs Telligman

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rothwell 8.5
fighter Barreto 7.1
Great knockouts by Rothwell
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Vera
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
Round 1 Oct 15, 2004 vs Wiezorek

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rothwell 7.2
fighter Barreto 7.7
Great submissions by Barreto
Round 2 May 15, 2004 vs Hoffman
Round 1 Apr 27, 1999 vs Otavio
Round 2 Apr 05, 1996 vs Ilyukhin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rothwell 8.4
fighter Barreto 7.3
Fast finishes by Rothwell
70 seconds Apr 21, 2012 vs Schaub
491 seconds May 19, 2007 vs Fulton
300 seconds Oct 04, 2002 vs Fulton
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 31, 2003Heat FC 1 - Genesis
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
KOX
1,8071,693
1,7411,759
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rothwell
legend Barreto
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus