UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Reed vs Evans

1,271

CageRank

WINNER
Evans

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
100% chance Evans
WILL WIN

2,222

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rashad Evans
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 5.5 More than 65% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 6.1 Around 60% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 5.8 More than 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier 205 lbs vs 194 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly younger 37 years vs 49 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Dennis Reed
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Evans on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reed’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rashad
Evans
In 1:45, how much damage will he do? Evans Reed
Significant Strikes9
Evans's good striking offense may be a factor against Reed's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 16 Significant Strikes in 1:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Evans's good takedown offense may be a factor against Reed's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:45
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evans has a chance to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Poor
Resistance
Decision
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Reed on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Reed
In 1:45, how much damage will he do? Reed Evans
Significant Strikes4
Reed's average striking offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 16 Significant Strikes in 1:45
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Reed's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:45
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reed is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Reed is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Reed is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Evans 8.9
fighter Reed 8.2
Great striking by Evans
20 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
39 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Henderson
29 strikes May 29, 2010 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Evans 9.1
fighter Reed 8.9
Great takedowns by Evans
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
3 takedowns May 29, 2010 vs Jackson
8 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans 8.6
fighter Reed 5.9
Great knockouts by Evans
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
Round 2 Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evans 6.8
fighter Reed 6.4
Great submissions by Evans
Round 1 Apr 10, 2004 vs Anderson
Round 1 Apr 10, 2004 vs Reed
Round 0 Nov 08, 2003 vs Calmese

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evans 8.2
fighter Reed 6.5
Fast finishes by Evans
245 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
766 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
411 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5941,662
1,5541,702
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans
legend Reed
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus