UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aoki vs Moore

2,254

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

1,861

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 6.3 More than 55% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 8.7 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 7.9 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.2 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.5 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 183 cm vs 179 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Todd Moore
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.1 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.3 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moore’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
In 6:39, how much damage will he do? Aoki Moore
Significant Strikes14
Aoki's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Moore's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:39
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Aoki's excellent takedown offense will dominate Moore's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:39
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aoki is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Moore on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Todd
Moore
In 6:39, how much damage will he do? Moore Aoki
Significant Strikes10
Moore's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:39
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Moore's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aoki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moore has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moore is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moore is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.6
fighter Moore 8.2
Great takedowns by Aoki
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
6 takedowns Dec 31, 2011 vs Kitaoka
1 takedown Apr 29, 2008 vs Cavalcante

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Moore 8.3
Great knockouts by Moore
Round 2 Mar 01, 2013 vs Ontiveros
Round 3 Aug 08, 2009 vs Krantz
Round 2 Jun 24, 2006 vs Schulte

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Moore 6.3
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Moore 7.7
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 23, 2008Dream 6
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
DECX
2,0701,768
2,0851,753
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Moore
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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