UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aoki vs Ryu

2,254

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

1,500

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 7.5 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 7.0 Around 40% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.1 Around 35% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Yasutoshi Ryu
Much heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.1 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ryu’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ryu on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yasutoshi
Ryu
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ryu is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ryu is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ryu is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Ryu 7.5
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Ryu 7.3
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,5501,550
1,6001,500
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Ryu
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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