UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aoki vs Harada

2,254

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

1,489

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 6.7 More than 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.0 Around 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.4 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 7.9 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Toshikatsu Harada
Significantly heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.1 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Harada’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Aoki is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Harada on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Toshikatsu
Harada
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Harada is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Harada is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Harada is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Harada 7.0
Great knockouts by Harada
Round 2 Feb 17, 2013 vs Iwamoto
Round 1 Oct 03, 2010 vs Sik Song
Round 2 Nov 23, 2008 vs Silva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Harada 6.7
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Harada 7.0
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R3 SUBX
2,2511,620
2,2531,617
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Harada
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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