UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jackson vs Evans

2,095

CageRank

WINNER
Evans

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
68% chance Evans
WILL WIN

2,222

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rashad Evans
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Quinton Jackson
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Evans on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jackson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rashad
Evans
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Evans Jackson
Significant Strikes68
Evans's good striking offense is matched by Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Evans's good takedown offense may be a factor against Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evans is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Evans has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Jackson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Quinton
Jackson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jackson Evans
Significant Strikes43
Jackson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jackson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jackson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jackson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jackson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Evans 8.9
fighter Jackson 8.6
Great striking by Evans
20 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
39 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Henderson
29 strikes May 29, 2010 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Evans 9.1
fighter Jackson 8.1
Great takedowns by Evans
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
3 takedowns May 29, 2010 vs Jackson
8 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans 8.6
fighter Jackson 8.6
Great knockouts by Evans
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
Round 2 Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evans 6.8
fighter Jackson 6.6
Great submissions by Evans
Round 1 Apr 10, 2004 vs Anderson
Round 1 Apr 10, 2004 vs Reed
Round 0 Nov 08, 2003 vs Calmese

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evans 8.2
fighter Jackson 8.3
Fast finishes by Jackson
201 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Silva
113 seconds May 26, 2007 vs Liddell
490 seconds Nov 09, 2003 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 29, 2010UFC 114
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 KOX
2,1572,138
2,1042,191
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans
legend Jackson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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