UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jackson vs Bader

2,095

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Jackson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Jackson
WILL WIN

2,073

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Quinton Jackson
Significantly stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Ryan Bader
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.4 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Jackson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bader’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Quinton
Jackson
In 11:45, how much damage will he do? Jackson Bader
Significant Strikes34
Jackson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:45
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jackson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jackson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jackson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jackson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bader on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jackson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Bader
In 11:45, how much damage will he do? Bader Jackson
Significant Strikes50
Bader's good striking offense is matched by Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:45
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bader's average takedown offense is matched by Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bader is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bader is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bader has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jackson 8.6
fighter Bader 8.7
Great striking by Bader
3 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
55 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Jackson
42 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Rogerio Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jackson 8.1
fighter Bader 8.7
Great takedowns by Bader
3 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Perosh
4 takedowns Feb 26, 2012 vs Jackson
5 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Rogerio Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jackson 8.6
fighter Bader 7.6
Great knockouts by Jackson
Round 1 Dec 27, 2008 vs Silva
Round 1 May 26, 2007 vs Liddell
Round 2 Nov 09, 2003 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jackson 6.6
fighter Bader 7.4
Great submissions by Bader
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Acosta
Round 1 May 12, 2007 vs Baggett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jackson 8.3
fighter Bader 8.1
Fast finishes by Jackson
201 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Silva
113 seconds May 26, 2007 vs Liddell
490 seconds Nov 09, 2003 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 26, 2012UFC 144
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
2,1231,950
2,0502,023
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jackson
legend Bader
Read More
Jackson vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Bader vs Mitrione
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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