UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nishiura vs Ishida

1,746

CageRank

WINNER
Ishida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Ishida
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 7.8 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.1 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Akiyo Nishiura
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 144 lbs vs 142 lbs Almost the same
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nishiura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ishida Nishiura
Significant Strikes47
Ishida's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nishiura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns7
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Nishiura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Nishiura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Akiyo
Nishiura
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nishiura Ishida
Significant Strikes41
Nishiura's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Nishiura's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nishiura has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Nishiura is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nishiura is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ishida 8.2
fighter Nishiura 8.3
Great striking by Nishiura
14 strikes May 29, 2010 vs Tokoro

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ishida 9.5
fighter Nishiura 7.8
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Nishiura 7.2
Great knockouts by Nishiura
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Tokoro
Round 3 Jul 18, 2008 vs Lahdesmaki
Round 1 Feb 11, 2008 vs Man Kim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Nishiura 6.1
Great submissions by Ishida
Round 1 Sep 20, 2008 vs Wilcox
Round 1 Apr 02, 2006 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ishida 7.3
fighter Nishiura 7.2
Fast finishes by Ishida
81 seconds Sep 20, 2008 vs Wilcox
149 seconds Apr 02, 2006 vs Rodriguez
691 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Nakakura
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 25, 2010Dream 16
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
XDEC
1,7671,932
1,7391,960
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ishida
legend Nishiura
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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