UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ishida vs Gomi

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Gomi

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance Gomi
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 7.2 More than 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 9:58, how much damage will he do? Gomi Ishida
Significant Strikes40
Gomi's good striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:58
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:58
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 9:58, how much damage will he do? Ishida Gomi
Significant Strikes40
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 9:58
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:58
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gomi 8.9
fighter Ishida 8.2
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.2
fighter Ishida 9.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gomi 8.4
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.0
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Gomi
Round 1 Aug 26, 2006 vs Baron
Round 1 Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Oct 14, 2004 vs Bennett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gomi 8.2
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Gomi
64 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
74 seconds Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
462 seconds Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 31, 2006Pride FC - Shockwave 2006
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,9742,103
1,9422,135
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gomi
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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