UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ishida vs Rodriguez

1,833

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ishida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
72% chance Ishida
WILL WIN

1,672

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.1 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 38 years vs 42 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Paul Rodriguez
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.7 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rodriguez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ishida Rodriguez
Significant Strikes53
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Rodriguez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Rodriguez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rodriguez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Rodriguez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Rodriguez Ishida
Significant Strikes35
Rodriguez's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rodriguez's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ishida 8.2
fighter Rodriguez 8.1
Great striking by Ishida
16 strikes Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
8 strikes Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
29 strikes Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ishida 9.5
fighter Rodriguez 8.1
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Rodriguez 6.9
Great knockouts by Rodriguez
Round 2 Aug 10, 2007 vs Becks
Round 3 Jun 10, 2000 vs Hallman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Rodriguez 7.6
Great submissions by Rodriguez
Round 1 Jul 30, 2005 vs Masvidal
Round 1 Jun 14, 2003 vs Durant
Round 1 Feb 23, 2001 vs Cooper

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ishida 7.3
fighter Rodriguez 7.5
Fast finishes by Rodriguez
147 seconds Jul 30, 2005 vs Masvidal
269 seconds Jun 14, 2003 vs Durant
618 seconds Jun 10, 2000 vs Hallman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 2, 2006Pride - Bushido 10
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
DECX
1,8301,728
1,8661,693
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ishida
legend Rodriguez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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