UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ishida vs Ribeiro

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Ribeiro

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Ribeiro
WILL WIN

1,875

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Ribeiro
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Ribeiro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Ribeiro
In 10:48, how much damage will he do? Ribeiro Ishida
Significant Strikes25
Ribeiro's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:48
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ribeiro's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ribeiro is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ribeiro has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ribeiro is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ribeiro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 10:48, how much damage will he do? Ishida Ribeiro
Significant Strikes44
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Ribeiro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:48
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Ribeiro's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:48
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ribeiro 8.1
fighter Ishida 8.2
Great striking by Ishida
16 strikes Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
8 strikes Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
29 strikes Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ribeiro 8.6
fighter Ishida 9.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ribeiro 6.8
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Ribeiro
Round 1 Apr 05, 2009 vs Nagata
Round 1 Nov 03, 2001 vs Kohler

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ribeiro 8.4
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Ribeiro
Round 1 Sep 30, 2006 vs Mohamed
Round 2 Dec 14, 2003 vs Hansen
Round 2 Jul 05, 2002 vs Hurley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ribeiro 8.0
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Ribeiro
267 seconds Sep 30, 2006 vs Mohamed
558 seconds Sep 10, 2005 vs Silva
457 seconds Dec 14, 2003 vs Hansen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 SUB
1,7151,951
1,6941,971
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ribeiro
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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