UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ishida vs Nakakura

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Nakakura

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Nakakura
WILL WIN

1,848

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Takashi Nakakura
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.7 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 153 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Nakakura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takashi
Nakakura
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nakakura is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Nakakura is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nakakura has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nakakura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nakakura 6.6
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Ishida
Round 3 Aug 20, 2005 vs Nakakura
Round 1 Mar 12, 2005 vs Sato
Round 2 Nov 26, 2001 vs Kojima

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nakakura 7.6
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Nakakura
Round 1 Nov 29, 2008 vs Casimir
Round 1 Jul 15, 2007 vs Lax
Round 2 Sep 25, 2002 vs Hashimoto

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nakakura 7.6
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Nakakura
298 seconds Nov 29, 2008 vs Casimir
174 seconds Jul 15, 2007 vs Lax
374 seconds May 04, 2005 vs Cooper
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 20, 2005Shooto - Alive Road
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
DECX
1,7581,717
1,8021,672
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nakakura
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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