Mitsuhiro Ishida Endless Fighter 20-8-1

Weight 142 lbs
Height 5' 6"
Reach 67"
Age 39

Naoki Matsushita 12-16-11

153 lbs
5' 6"

42

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ishida vs Matsushita

CageRank

WINNER

88% chance Ishida
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida

Much better submission offense	6.7	vs	5.6	More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit	9.3	vs	8.5	Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense	9.5	vs	8.5	More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense	9.2	vs	8.2	More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw	7.9	vs	7.0	Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes	7.3	vs	6.8	Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight	8.3	vs	7.7	More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger	39 years	vs	42 years	More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon

Advantages for Naoki Matsushita

Heavier hands	7.0	vs	6.7	Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker	8.4	vs	8.2	Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense	9.1	vs	8.9	Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier	153 lbs	vs	142 lbs	Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control

Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matsushita’s defensive skills

Predictions For Mitsuhiro Ishida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Ishida		Matsushita
Significant Strikes59 Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Matsushita's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Average Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6 Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Matsushita's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Excellent Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout	Below average Knockout ability	vs	Average Jaw
Submission Ishida is unlikely to win by submission	Below average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Ishida has a good chance of winning by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability

Matsushita on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills

Predictions For Naoki Matsushita
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Matsushita		Ishida
Significant Strikes44 Matsushita's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Average Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Matsushita's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Average Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Matsushita has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Average Knockout ability	vs	Average Jaw
Submission Matsushita is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Matsushita is unlikely to win by decision	Poor Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability