VS
CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Ishida vs Matsushita
1,833
CageRank
WINNER
WINNER
Ishida
BY Decision
88% chance Ishida
WILL WIN
1,481
CageRank
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
| Much better submission offense | 6.7 | vs | 5.6 | More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
| Much harder to hit | 9.3 | vs | 8.5 | Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
| Much stronger takedown offense | 9.5 | vs | 8.5 | More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
| Much better takedown defense | 9.2 | vs | 8.2 | More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down |
| Significantly stronger jaw | 7.9 | vs | 7.0 | Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
| Significantly fast finishes | 7.3 | vs | 6.8 | Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
| Puts up a fight | 8.3 | vs | 7.7 | More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
| Younger | 38 years | vs | 41 years | More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Advantages for Naoki Matsushita
| Heavier hands | 7.0 | vs | 6.7 | Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders |
| Better striker | 8.4 | vs | 8.2 | Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
| Better submission defense | 9.1 | vs | 8.9 | Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
| Heavier | 153 lbs | vs | 142 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Ishida on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matsushita’s defensive skills
 Mitsuhiro Ishida |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Ishida | Matsushita | |
|
Significant Strikes59
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Matsushita's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns6
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Matsushita's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Excellent
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout |
Below average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Average
Jaw
|
|
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission |
Below average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
Ishida has a good chance of winning by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
Matsushita on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
|
Naoki Matsushita |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Matsushita | Ishida | |
|
Significant Strikes44
Matsushita's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns2
Matsushita's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
Matsushita has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Average
Jaw
|
|
Submission
Matsushita is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
Matsushita is unlikely to win by decision |
Poor
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?
Ishida
9.5
Matsushita
8.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
| 5 takedowns | Mar 08, 2009 | vs Nakamura |
| 7 takedowns | Dec 31, 2007 | vs Melendez |
| 4 takedowns | Jun 04, 2006 | vs Aurelio |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?
Ishida
6.7
Matsushita
7.0
Great knockouts by Matsushita
| Round 2 | Sep 27, 2009 | vs Andrade I |
| Round 1 | Aug 16, 2009 | vs Yong Kim |
| Round 2 | Dec 11, 2005 | vs Iida |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?
Ishida
6.7
Matsushita
5.6
Great submissions by Ishida
| Round 1 | Sep 20, 2008 | vs Wilcox |
| Round 1 | Apr 02, 2006 | vs Rodriguez |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster?
Ishida
7.3
Matsushita
6.8
Fast finishes by Ishida
| 81 seconds | Sep 20, 2008 | vs Wilcox |
| 149 seconds | Apr 02, 2006 | vs Rodriguez |
| 691 seconds | Aug 20, 2005 | vs Nakakura |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
Ishida
Matsushita
Read More
Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
