UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ishida vs Hirota

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Hirota

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Hirota
WILL WIN

1,908

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mizuto Hirota
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 144 lbs vs 142 lbs Almost the same
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Hirota on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mizuto
Hirota
In 11:28, how much damage will he do? Hirota Ishida
Significant Strikes31
Hirota's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:28
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hirota's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hirota has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hirota is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hirota is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hirota’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 11:28, how much damage will he do? Ishida Hirota
Significant Strikes50
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Hirota's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:28
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hirota's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:28
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hirota 8.4
fighter Ishida 9.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hirota 7.8
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Hirota
Round 4 Aug 02, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 May 10, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Aug 24, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hirota 6.3
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Ishida
Round 1 Sep 20, 2008 vs Wilcox
Round 1 Apr 02, 2006 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hirota 7.8
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Hirota
1070 seconds Aug 02, 2009 vs Kitaoka
93 seconds May 10, 2009 vs Ishida
565 seconds Aug 24, 2008 vs Schultz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
DECX
2,0151,822
1,9401,897
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hirota
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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