UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lewis vs Jones

1,916

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Derrick Lewis
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lewis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lewis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Lewis
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lewis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lewis is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lewis is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Lewis 9.5
Great knockouts by Lewis
Round 3 Mar 01, 2013 vs Shivers
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Frazier
Round 2 Jul 24, 2010 vs Martinez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Lewis 6.5
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Lewis 8.3
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Lewis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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