UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lewis vs Carmont

1,916

CageRank

WINNER
Carmont

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Carmont
WILL WIN

2,003

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Francis Carmont
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Derrick Lewis
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.3 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 33 years vs 37 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Carmont on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lewis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francis
Carmont
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carmont is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carmont is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carmont has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lewis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carmont’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Lewis
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lewis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lewis is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lewis is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Carmont 7.3
fighter Lewis 9.5
Great knockouts by Lewis
Round 3 Mar 01, 2013 vs Shivers
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Frazier
Round 2 Jul 24, 2010 vs Martinez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carmont 7.7
fighter Lewis 6.5
Great submissions by Carmont
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Vemola
Round 2 Apr 14, 2012 vs Cedenblad
Round 2 Sep 18, 2010 vs Zahariev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carmont 8.1
fighter Lewis 8.3
Fast finishes by Lewis
862 seconds Mar 01, 2013 vs Shivers
157 seconds Mar 30, 2012 vs Frazier
363 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Martinez
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carmont
legend Lewis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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